SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
60.79% ( 0.08) | 21.45% ( -0.03) | 17.76% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( 0.08) | 44.4% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( 0.08) | 66.77% ( -0.07) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( 0.05) | 14.14% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.21% ( 0.1) | 41.8% ( -0.09) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( -0) | 38.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.67% ( -0) | 75.33% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 60.79% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.45% | 0-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.21% Total : 17.76% |
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