Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 48.26%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.04) 
