Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.9%) and 1-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.