Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 54.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Sochi win it was 1-0 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
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