SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 83.76%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 4.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.31%) and 1-0 (10.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
83.76% ( 0.1) | 11.58% ( -0.06) | 4.66% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 37.21% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.76% ( 0.08) | 37.24% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.55% ( 0.08) | 59.45% ( -0.08) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.47% ( 0.04) | 6.53% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.65% ( 0.1) | 24.35% ( -0.09) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.81% ( -0.11) | 60.19% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.25% ( -0.05) | 90.75% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 2-0 @ 14.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 83.75% | 1-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 11.58% | 0-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.28% Total : 4.66% |
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