Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.