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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2021 at 5pm UK
Petrovsky Stadium

Zenit
7 - 1
Spartak Moscow

Azmoun (19', 36'), Claudinho (28'), Mostovoy (45', 56'), Dzyuba (80' pen.), Erokhin (89')
Rakitskiy (72')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Promes (53')
Caufriez (65'), Bakaev (90+2')
Caufriez (79')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Spartak Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawSpartak Moscow
52.17%22.64%25.19%
Both teams to score 59.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.75%40.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.37%62.63%
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47%15.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.55%44.45%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8%29.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86%65.14%
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 52.17%
    Spartak Moscow 25.19%
    Draw 22.64%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 7.86%
3-1 @ 6.01%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.7%
4-1 @ 2.8%
4-0 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 52.17%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 4.53%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.4%
0-1 @ 5.58%
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 25.19%

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