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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
63.78% ( -0.86) | 20.32% ( 0.39) | 15.9% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 52.53% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.32% ( -0.85) | 42.67% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.92% ( -0.85) | 65.08% ( 0.85) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.29% ( -0.5) | 12.7% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.08% ( -1.04) | 38.91% ( 1.04) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.18% ( 0.08) | 39.82% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.51% ( 0.08) | 76.48% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 2-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.31% Total : 63.77% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.32% | 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.91% Total : 15.9% |
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