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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dundee |
31.6% ( 0.47) | 26.28% ( 0.02) | 42.12% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 52.29% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.8% ( 0.07) | 52.2% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.09% ( 0.06) | 73.91% ( -0.06) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% ( 0.36) | 30.71% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% ( 0.42) | 66.96% ( -0.42) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( -0.22) | 24.54% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.99% ( -0.3) | 59.01% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.6% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.63% Total : 42.12% |
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