Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Dumbarton
59.32%	21.1%	19.58%

Both teams to score 57.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.06%

39.94% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.69%

62.3% (

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.85%

13.15% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.18%

39.82%

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01%

33.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33% (

70.67%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 59.32%

Dumbarton 19.58%

Draw 21.1%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Dumbarton
2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.2% 1-0 @ 9.07% 3-1 @ 6.71% 3-0 @ 6.22% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.41% 4-0 @ 3.16% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.51% Total : 59.32%	1-1 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.1%	1-2 @ 5.28% 0-1 @ 4.82% 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.58%