SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
42.15% ( -0.01) | 25.54% ( 0.01) | 32.31% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( -0.06) | 48.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( -0.05) | 70.97% ( 0.05) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( -0.03) | 23.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( -0.04) | 56.88% ( 0.04) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( -0.03) | 28.58% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% ( -0.04) | 64.37% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.15% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.31% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
