Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.