SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Falkirk | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Clyde | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Edinburgh City | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Montrose | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Airdrieonians | 6 | 2 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
46.75% ( -0.23) | 24.5% | 28.75% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.06% ( 0.13) | 45.94% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.75% ( 0.13) | 68.25% ( -0.13) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( -0.04) | 19.75% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.22% ( -0.07) | 51.78% ( 0.07) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( 0.23) | 29.52% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( 0.28) | 65.54% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.75% |
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