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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
40.75% ( -0.06) | 25.36% ( 0.09) | 33.88% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.32% ( -0.4) | 47.68% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( -0.37) | 69.88% ( 0.37) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( -0.2) | 23.22% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.87% ( -0.3) | 57.13% ( 0.3) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( -0.21) | 27% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% ( -0.28) | 62.36% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.75% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.88% |
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