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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
30.46% ( -5.9) | 23.65% ( -1.05) | 45.89% ( 6.95) |
| Both teams to score 60.6% ( 1.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.9% ( 3.17) | 41.1% ( -3.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( 3.15) | 63.49% ( -3.15) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( -1.96) | 25.93% ( 1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.07% ( -2.72) | 60.93% ( 2.71) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% ( 4.45) | 18.17% ( -4.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.83% ( 7.08) | 49.16% ( -7.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.9) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( -1.39)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -1.24)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.62)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.7)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.29)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.46% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.71)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.69) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.86)1-3 @ 5.26% ( 1.02)0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.93)2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.52)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.67)0-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.56)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.39)Other @ 3.64% Total : 45.89% |
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