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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
26.12% ( 0.44) | 22.19% ( 0.61) | 51.69% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.42% ( -1.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.77% ( -2.55) | 37.23% ( 2.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.56% ( -2.8) | 59.43% ( 2.8) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( -1.04) | 26.89% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( -1.39) | 62.21% ( 1.38) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.38% ( -1.22) | 14.61% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.28% ( -2.41) | 42.71% ( 2.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.13% Total : 26.12% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.6)0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 2.94% ( -0.25)0-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.23)1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.15)Other @ 4.27% Total : 51.69% |
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