SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 78.29%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.55%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
8.39% ( 0.49) | 13.32% ( 0.52) | 78.29% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.18% ( -0.92) | 28.82% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.25% ( -1.15) | 49.75% ( 1.15) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.18% ( 0.39) | 42.82% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.87% ( 0.33) | 79.13% ( -0.33) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.13% ( -0.36) | 5.87% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.49% ( -1.04) | 22.51% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.77% Total : 8.39% | 1-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 13.32% | 0-2 @ 10.1% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 9.55% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 6.77% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 5.74% ( -0.14)0-5 @ 3.84% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 3.26% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)0-6 @ 1.81% ( -0.15)1-6 @ 1.54% ( -0.11)2-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.64% Total : 78.28% |
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