Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dumbarton in this match.