SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stranraer |
45.48% ( 0.03) | 26.1% ( -0.01) | 28.42% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.21% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.16% ( 0.04) | 52.84% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.54% ( 0.04) | 74.46% ( -0.03) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( 0.03) | 23.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.94% ( 0.05) | 57.05% ( -0.05) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% ( 0.01) | 33.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% ( 0.01) | 69.97% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.42% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
