SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Stranraer had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Stranraer win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Stranraer |
51.26% ( 0.21) | 24.79% ( -0.07) | 23.94% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.21% ( 0.18) | 50.78% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.32% ( 0.16) | 72.67% ( -0.16) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( 0.16) | 19.8% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.12% ( 0.25) | 51.87% ( -0.25) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.05% ( -0.02) | 35.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.27% ( -0.02) | 72.72% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 51.26% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.94% |
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