Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
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