SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
46.99% ( 0.14) | 24.94% ( 0.06) | 28.07% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.71% ( -0.37) | 48.29% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.56% ( -0.34) | 70.44% ( 0.34) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( -0.09) | 20.59% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.86% ( -0.14) | 53.14% ( 0.14) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( -0.34) | 31.23% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.43% ( -0.4) | 67.57% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.98% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 28.07% |
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