SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
59.57% ( -0.05) | 21.69% ( 0.02) | 18.74% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.12% ( -0.02) | 43.88% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.73% ( -0.02) | 66.27% ( 0.02) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.65% ( -0.02) | 14.35% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.79% ( -0.04) | 42.21% ( 0.05) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.83% ( 0.03) | 37.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.04% ( 0.03) | 73.96% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 59.56% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.69% | 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.74% |
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