Kilmarnock might have provided the biggest upset of the opening weekend, but they will still head into this match as the underdogs overall. Considering the poor away form that Kilmarnock displayed last season and the quality of the Hearts sqaud, it should be the hosts taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Kilmarnock
35.7% ( 0.02)	25.85% ( -0.01)	38.45% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.71% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.46% (

0.04)

49.54% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.43% (

0.04)

71.57% (

-0.04)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

0.03)

26.81% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

0.04)

62.1% (

-0.04)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

0.01)

25.25% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99% (

0.02)

60.01% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Hearts 35.7%

Kilmarnock 38.45%

Draw 25.84%

Hearts	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.7%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.58% Total : 38.45%