SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Livingston |
40.26% ( -7.41) | 24.8% ( 0.29) | 34.93% ( 7.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( 2.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.06% ( 1.63) | 44.94% ( -1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.7% ( 1.55) | 67.3% ( -1.55) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -2.65) | 22.27% ( 2.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.29% ( -4.15) | 55.71% ( 4.15) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( 5.44) | 25.08% ( -5.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% ( 6.98) | 59.77% ( -6.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Livingston |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.71) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -1.36)2-0 @ 6.3% ( -1.64)3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.76)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -1.16)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.45)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.57)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.26% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.43)0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.4)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 1.16) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.62)0-2 @ 5.34% ( 1.13)1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.98)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.57)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.8)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.47)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.3)Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.94% |
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