SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Hibernian |
28.93% ( 0.21) | 25.38% ( -0.11) | 45.69% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.79% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.37% ( 0.59) | 49.63% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.35% ( 0.52) | 71.65% ( -0.52) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% ( 0.45) | 31.28% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.36% ( 0.52) | 67.64% ( -0.53) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% ( 0.2) | 21.71% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.12% ( 0.31) | 54.88% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 28.93% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 45.69% |
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