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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2024 at 8pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
ML

Livingston
1 - 3
Motherwell

Yengi (3')
Yengi (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nicholson (49'), Spittal (71'), Vale (87')
Casey (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 3-2 Livingston
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-3 Celtic
Sunday, February 25 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Livingston 1-2 Motherwell

The nature of Livingston's defeat at Ross County on the weekend could have taken the wind out of the Lions' sails ahead of Wednesday's clash with Motherwell. Having just faced off against Celtic, the Steelmen should be primed and ready to return to winning ways against a side who seem destined for the drop. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawMotherwell
40.79% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 27.02%32.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.03% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)54.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.25% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51%26.49% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32%61.68% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)31.71% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.13% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 40.78%
    Motherwell 32.19%
    Draw 27.01%
LivingstonDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 40.78%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 9.65%
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 32.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ross County 3-2 Livingston
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-0 St Mirren
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Partick 2-3 Livingston
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 3-0 Livingston
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-2 Ross County
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-3 Celtic
Sunday, February 25 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Motherwell
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-3 Motherwell
Wednesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Morton 2-1 Motherwell
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Motherwell 5-0 Ross County
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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