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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
ML

St Johnstone
1 - 1
Motherwell

McGowan (3')
Smith (76'), Phillips (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bair (29')
Kelly (4'), Zdravkovski (45'), Halliday (45+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Aberdeen
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Johnstone 1-1 Motherwell

There is little to split these two sides, who have suffered a slight downturn in results across the past 18 months. St Johnstone were spirited when claiming a draw against Aberdeen in midweek, while Motherwell have slightly improved of late. As such, with Ross County unlikely to gain anything away to Celtic in a simultaneous fixture, both sides may settle for moving one point clear of their relegation rivals by sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawMotherwell
33.38% (0.064 0.06) 27.57% (0.0019999999999989 0) 39.05% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.17% (0.010999999999996 0.01)56.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.24% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)77.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (0.051000000000002 0.05)31.85% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (0.057000000000002 0.06)68.29% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)28.33% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)64.06% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 33.38%
    Motherwell 39.05%
    Draw 27.57%
St JohnstoneDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.45% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 33.38%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 39.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Aberdeen
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Livingston 0-0 St Johnstone
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 St Johnstone
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Hibernian
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 3-1 Alloa
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Motherwell
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 3-1 Livingston
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 0-2 Rangers
Sunday, December 24 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-0 Motherwell
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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