SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 79.7%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 7.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
79.7% ( -0.22) | 13.09% ( 0.11) | 7.2% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.15% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.43% ( -0.14) | 32.57% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.77% ( -0.16) | 54.22% ( 0.15) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.61% ( -0.07) | 6.38% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.05% ( -0.2) | 23.94% ( 0.19) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.44% ( 0.18) | 48.56% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.36% ( 0.13) | 83.64% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 2-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.77% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 79.7% | 1-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.77% Total : 13.09% | 0-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 7.21% |
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