SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hibernian in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
60.84% ( 0.05) | 21.81% ( 0.13) | 17.35% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 50.74% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.37% ( -0.85) | 46.64% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.1% ( -0.81) | 68.91% ( 0.81) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.15% ( -0.26) | 14.86% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.82% ( -0.51) | 43.18% ( 0.52) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.6% ( -0.72) | 40.41% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.98% ( -0.66) | 77.02% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.46% Total : 60.84% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.97% Total : 17.35% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
