SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
41.92% ( -0.4) | 25.38% ( 0.15) | 32.7% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.61% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.91% ( -0.61) | 48.08% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.75% ( -0.56) | 70.25% ( 0.56) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( -0.45) | 22.83% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.45% ( -0.67) | 56.55% ( 0.67) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% ( -0.14) | 27.94% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.44% ( -0.18) | 63.56% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.7% |
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