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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.61%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.82%) and 0-3 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Celtic |
8.39% ( -0.3) | 16% ( -0.18) | 75.61% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 42.8% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.41% ( -0.2) | 42.59% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% ( -0.2) | 64.99% ( 0.2) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.33% ( -0.83) | 52.67% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.56% ( -0.54) | 86.44% ( 0.54) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.43% ( 0.07) | 9.57% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.98% ( 0.16) | 32.02% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.69% Total : 8.39% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.53% Total : 16% | 0-2 @ 13.87% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 10.85% ( 0.19)1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 6.37% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.99% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.92% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)0-6 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.13% Total : 75.6% |
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