Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Amorebieta | Draw | Albacete |
29.44% ( -0.5) | 28.81% ( 0.52) | 41.75% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.11% ( -1.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.86% ( -1.87) | 62.14% ( 1.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.16% ( -1.4) | 81.84% ( 1.4) |
Amorebieta Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.46% ( -1.41) | 37.54% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.68% ( -1.41) | 74.32% ( 1.41) |
Albacete Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% ( -0.92) | 29.37% ( 0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.65% ( -1.14) | 65.35% ( 1.14) |
Score Analysis |
Amorebieta | Draw | Albacete |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.72% Total : 29.44% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.75) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 13.51% ( 0.59) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.5% Total : 41.75% |
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