Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 41.02%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 29.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.33%) and 1-2 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Burgos win it was 1-0 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Sporting Gijon
29.17% ( 1.27)	29.81% ( 0.22)	41.02% ( -1.48)

Both teams to score 41.47% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.65% (

-0.25)

65.35% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.87% (

-0.18)

84.13% (

0.18)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.45% (

0.9)

39.55% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.76% (

0.83)

76.24% (

-0.82)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6% (

-0.98)

31.4% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.22% (

-1.16)

67.78% (

1.16)

Score Analysis

Burgos 29.17%

Sporting Gijon 41.02%

Draw 29.8%

Burgos	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.45% Total : 29.17%	1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.8%	0-1 @ 14.38% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.06% Total : 41.02%