Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
0.5) 
-0.27) 
