Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 44.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 27.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
0.37) 
-0.48) 
