SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Racing de Santander |
58.74% ( -0.45) | 23.77% ( -0.05) | 17.48% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 45.21% ( 1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.81% ( 0.85) | 54.19% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.4% ( 0.71) | 75.59% ( -0.71) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( 0.16) | 18.22% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.75% ( 0.26) | 49.24% ( -0.26) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.29% ( 1.13) | 44.71% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.3% ( 0.89) | 80.7% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.28)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.25% Total : 58.73% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.56% Total : 17.48% |
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