Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.33%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.