Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 52.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
-0.05) 
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