Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 43.12%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.

Result
Lugo	Draw	Sporting Gijon
27.4% ( -0.25)	29.48% ( 0.14)	43.12% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 41.42% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.02% (

-0.51)

64.98% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.12% (

-0.36)

83.88% (

0.36)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.18% (

-0.5)

40.82% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.61% (

-0.45)

77.4% (

0.46)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99% (

-0.19)

30.02% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.86% (

-0.23)

66.14% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Lugo 27.4%

Sporting Gijon 43.11%

Draw 29.48%

Lugo	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.29% Total : 27.4%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.48%	0-1 @ 14.74% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 43.11%