Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Valladolid in this match.