With safety long secured and Europe effectively out of reach, Bologna could find themselves ambling towards the campaign's conclusion - by contrast, Cremonese are in a win-or-bust situation. With their backs to the wall, the hosts can eke out just a fifth league win of the season - though that may not be enough to keep them afloat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.07) 
