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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
TL

Empoli
2 - 2
Torino

Luperto (37'), Marin (69')
Akpa-Akpro (63'), Bajrami (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ricci (82'), Sanabria (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Empoli
Monday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Torino
Saturday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-1 Torino

Torino have travelled well enough this season, but now come face to face with opposition enjoying their best form of the season. Neither team is particularly prolific, yet current trends suggest they can both score at least once in a tightly-contested encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Torino had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawTorino
37.75% (0.131 0.13) 27.69% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 34.56% (-0.181 -0.18)
Both teams to score 48.67% (-0.164 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.87% (-0.194 -0.19)57.13% (0.19 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22% (-0.156 -0.16)78% (0.152 0.15)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.24% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)65.19% (0.017999999999986 0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)31.22% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-0.249 -0.25)67.56% (0.24600000000001 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 37.74%
    Torino 34.56%
    Draw 27.68%
EmpoliDrawTorino
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.74%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.13% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Empoli
Monday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Sampdoria
Monday, January 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Empoli
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Empoli
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 2-0 Cremonese
Friday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Empoli
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Torino
Saturday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Spezia
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Torino
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Torino
Sunday, January 8 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Hellas Verona
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Torino
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Serie A


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