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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
SC

Torino
0 - 1
Spezia


Djidji (27'), Ricci (75'), Karamoh (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
N'Zola (28' pen.)
Caldara (51'), Bourabia (61'), Nikolaou (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Torino
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Spezia

Tough to beat and boosted by their Coppa Italia heroics, Torino are set to claim back-to-back wins in the space of a few days by seeing off a low-scoring Spezia side on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawSpezia
52.17% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 25.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 22.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.37% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)53.94% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)75.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)53.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)39.01% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)75.73% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Torino 52.16%
    Spezia 22.55%
    Draw 25.28%
TorinoDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 22.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Torino
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Torino
Sunday, January 8 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Hellas Verona
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Torino
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-0 Sampdoria
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Torino
Sunday, November 6 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 4 at 1.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Spezia
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Udinese
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 Spezia
Saturday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 1-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Serie A


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