Although Frosinone have put 21 of their 24 points on the board at Stadio Stirpe, most came before Christmas. Lazio may be in turmoil, but the Biancocelesti should bounce back under new management, taking advantage of their hosts' dismal downturn.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
0.44) 
-0.54) 
