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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
LL

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Lecce

Mkhitaryan (29'), Martinez (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 26 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce

Inter's prowess on home soil should see them overcome their latest setback of an inconsistent season - they should also be fired up in response to criticism for last week's showing. Lecce could be vulnerable at the back without the inimitable Baschirotto, so Lautaro and Lukaku can get back on the scoresheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.84%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawLecce
71.52% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02) 18.21% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 10.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)46.55% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)68.82% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.32% (-0.012 -0.01)11.68% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)36.77% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.81% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)51.19% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.53%85.47%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 71.51%
    Lecce 10.27%
    Draw 18.21%
Inter MilanDrawLecce
2-0 @ 13.78%
1-0 @ 12.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.23%
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 71.51%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.21%
0-1 @ 4.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 2.88% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 10.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 26 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Porto
Wednesday, February 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Udinese
Saturday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Inter Milan
Monday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 AC Milan
Sunday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atalanta
Tuesday, January 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Lecce
Sunday, February 19 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Roma
Saturday, February 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Lecce
Saturday, February 4 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Salernitana
Friday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, January 21 at 2pm in Serie A


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