MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 19:02:27
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Tuesday, May 14
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LL
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
RL

Lazio
3 - 0
Roma

Immobile (14'), Alberto (23', 67')
Milinkovic-Savic (11'), Radu (20'), Acerbi (45+3'), Felipe (62'), Leiva (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Mancini (34'), Smalling (60'), Pedro (71'), Mkhitaryan (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawRoma
33.07%22.85%44.09%
Both teams to score 64.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.94%36.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.83%58.17%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04%21.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75%55.25%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1%16.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.06%46.95%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 33.07%
    Roma 44.09%
    Draw 22.85%
LazioDrawRoma
2-1 @ 7.58%
1-0 @ 5.63%
2-0 @ 4.26%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 6.74%
0-0 @ 3.71%
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-1 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 5.27%
2-3 @ 3.99%
0-3 @ 3.48%
1-4 @ 2.34%
2-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 44.09%

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