A single goal could decide the points' destiny on Sunday, as both sides keep coming up short in the final third. With home advantage on their side, Lecce should edge it; leaving Empoli floundering near the foot of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Empoli
54.35% ( 0.73)	24.58% ( 0.08)	21.07% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 48.54% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.24% (

-1.19)

52.75% (

1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61% (

-1.03)

74.39% (

1.03)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

-0.17)

19.35% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.87% (

-0.28)

51.12% (

0.28)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.18% (

-1.5)

39.81% (

1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.52% (

-1.41)

76.48% (

1.41)

Score Analysis

Lecce 54.34%

Empoli 21.07%

Draw 24.57%

Lecce	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 12.65% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.34%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.07%