Lecce are reborn under Gatti, keeping clean sheets and winning football games again. Unbeaten in 11 of their 13 home matches across Serie A and Serie B, last losing to the Biancorossi in December 1998, the home side should avoid defeat on Saturday, with a goal settling it for the Wolves.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
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