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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
LL

Monza
0 - 1
Lecce


Sensi (54'), Birindelli (65')
Donati (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Colombo (90+11' pen.)
Banda (56'), Baschirotto (82'), Hjulmand (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Monza
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Spezia
Sunday, May 21 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Monza 2-0 Lecce

Monza are enjoying their best period in the club's history and will be confident of ending their home campaign with a victory over struggling Lecce on Sunday. Lecce probably require a win from their final two games to ensure they join Monza in Serie A next season, but we do not imagine that maximum coming at U-Power Stadium in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
MonzaDrawLecce
50.13% (0.338 0.34) 26.36% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 23.51% (-0.385 -0.38)
Both teams to score 46.42% (-0.508 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (-0.461 -0.46)57.05% (0.461 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (-0.372 -0.37)77.94% (0.371 0.37)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)22.85% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.43% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)56.57% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16% (-0.622 -0.62)39.84% (0.622 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5% (-0.577 -0.58)76.5% (0.577 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Monza 50.13%
    Lecce 23.51%
    Draw 26.35%
MonzaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 13.43% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 9.92% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 50.13%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 23.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Monza
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-0 Napoli
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Monza
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Roma
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Monza
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Spezia
Sunday, May 21 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Lecce
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Lecce
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Udinese
Friday, April 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Serie A


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