Hampered by a modest goal threat and having bit hit for six by Inter, Verona may be unable to end their away-win drought on Sunday evening. Lecce are no hot-shots themselves, so the outcome could be decided by a single goal in their favour; hauling them further clear of Hellas in the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 44.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
